Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 11.997613 14.035164 16.260822 18.865502 21.822846 25.068782 28.893400
2025-06-15 8.896173 11.748321 15.189199 19.610562 25.101824 31.655722 40.023361
2025-06-22 6.938793 10.101677 14.229463 19.929642 27.502744 37.114046 50.112600
2025-06-29 5.412615 8.587275 13.023573 19.537274 28.691623 40.909005 58.216384
2025-07-06 4.209879 7.236692 11.741168 18.731830 29.059199 43.461217 64.695240
2025-07-13 3.773619 6.926983 11.865104 19.874653 32.179799 49.933924 76.923668
2025-07-20 3.386969 6.612064 11.907142 20.849927 35.083967 56.255712 89.325514
2025-07-27 2.994923 6.208854 11.732445 21.427972 37.384127 61.801311 100.909930
2025-08-03 2.595999 5.715709 11.326072 21.553023 38.936950 66.274029 111.118096
2025-08-10 2.185938 5.121706 10.651936 21.124977 39.511850 69.216834 119.102398
2025-08-17 1.829160 4.562424 9.954494 20.556276 39.763270 71.610417 126.307471
2025-08-24 1.522729 4.045808 9.258301 19.893690 39.761990 73.545181 132.832667
2025-08-31 1.203623 3.452012 8.360520 18.822998 39.080474 74.541602 138.332459
2025-09-07 1.090591 3.322922 8.411336 19.629535 41.952238 81.898307 155.105957
2025-09-14 0.955616 3.106507 8.238617 19.960039 43.954696 87.876217 169.914780
2025-09-21 0.794516 2.777338 7.754196 19.569070 44.509015 91.285014 180.446494
2025-09-28 0.638454 2.414825 7.122029 18.762813 44.136637 92.941418 187.933842
2025-10-05 0.603963 2.405757 7.351501 19.907321 47.840208 102.429568 210.084294
2025-10-12 0.563834 2.368363 7.502070 20.883986 51.268619 111.597023 232.125069
2025-10-19 0.510920 2.273823 7.486390 21.462846 53.891878 119.363302 251.962311
2025-10-26 0.447756 2.124182 7.294585 21.588073 55.532680 125.295965 268.649128
2025-11-02 0.375825 1.917340 6.902377 21.159425 55.895982 128.693064 280.659470
2025-11-09 0.311305 1.714190 6.479316 20.589922 55.875499 131.291854 291.237730